2016 China'S Import And Export Trade Is Expected To Reach 25 Trillion.

Recently, a report released by the customs information network to China in 2015.

The trade and macroeconomic situation were assessed, and the total value and growth rate of China's import and export trade in 2016 were estimated.

The report points out that the growth rate of China's imports and exports is expected to be negative. It is estimated that the total value of China's import and export trade in 2016 will be about 25 trillion yuan, up 1.9% over the same period last year.

Of which, 10 trillion yuan was imported, a decrease of 4.4% compared to the same period last year, and exports of 15 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.5% over the same period last year.

It is learned that according to the report, the total value of import and export of foreign trade in 2015 decreased significantly, but the structure was further optimized.

From the perspective of trade mode, the growth rate of general trade exports is higher than that of the whole, and the processing trade has dropped twice.

The efficiency has increased slightly.

It is reported that in 2015, the world economy has entered a low growth era as a whole.

The economy remains depressed and the European economy slowly recovers.

Under such an economic situation, China's economy is facing structural adjustment and growth potential.

From China's regional analysis, the trade trend of China's central region has increased; the trade in the western region has dropped considerably, and the import situation has improved; the eastern region's foreign trade has recovered, and the decline in exports and imports has narrowed.

According to the report, China's import and export trade showed major characteristics in 2015:

(1) the growth rate of imports and exports has declined sharply, and the export leading index shows that export pressure is still very high.

In 2015, the total value of China's imports and exports was 24 trillion and 580 billion yuan, down 7% from 2014, of which 1 billion 410 million yuan was exported, 1.8% down, 10 trillion and 450 billion yuan, 13.2%, the trade surplus of 3 trillion and 690 billion yuan, and the expansion of 56.7%.

From the monthly trend, except for the positive growth in February, the rest months were negative growth. In April, May, July, August, September and September, the decline was more than 8%.

(2) the volume of import and export freight volume increased slightly, and the volume of imports and trade volume remained unchanged. Export volume and trade volume expanded, and the price impact was slight.

(3) machinery and equipment parts and precious metals, knitwear and so on are the main commodities that have led to export growth.

Fossil fuels, special unclassified commodities and mineral ores are the main commodities that have contributed to the growth of China's imports.

As to the factors and trends of China's import and export trade in 2016, the customs information indicates that favorable factors mainly include the release of dividend policy, the emergence of new growth momentum and the promotion of regional cooperation.

Among them, the new growth momentum is that new business models such as cross-border e-commerce, market purchasing trade, and foreign trade comprehensive service enterprises are developing rapidly. With the implementation of relevant supporting policies and measures, the new business model is expected to become a new driving force for the growth of import and export trade.

At the same time, the report also pointed out that the main unfavorable factors facing China's import and export trade in 2016 were: the global economy and trade still showed a slowdown trend; the international bulk price will still be in the doldrums; China's economic and foreign trade situation is under tremendous pressure; private enterprises are troubled by financing difficulties.